[ simon://metricpilot ]
MetricPilotrevenue root-cause engine
Deterministic diagnostic over a 180-day repeat guest rate series for Club Med. Four stages, in order: decompose, classify, rank segments, narrate. Fixture-driven demo; the pipeline that produced the numbers lives at metricpilot-demo-factory fixtures.structural_decline().
Repeat guest rate: structural decline
Club Med / travel hospitality / Jan 1 - Jun 29
Start45.90%Jan 1
End31.76%Jun 29
Period change-30.8%-14.14% abs
Slope / day-0.00080change points: 5
Top segment contributions
Ranked by absolute delta vs global mean. Default dimension: market_segment.
- 1-12.0%hotel / resortobs 96 / slope -0.00080
- 2-12.0%customer type / contractobs 68 / slope -0.00080
- 3-12.0%customer type / transientobs 84 / slope -0.00080
- 4-12.0%market segment / corporateobs 70 / slope -0.00080
- 5-12.0%market segment / directobs 78 / slope -0.00080
- 6-12.0%market segment / onlineobs 74 / slope -0.00080
- 7-12.0%hotel / cityobs 88 / slope -0.00080
Repeat guest rate shows clear deterioration across the observed period.
The current pattern signals a sustained retention decline that merits prompt attention. The largest segment change appears in hotel resort.
high confidencechange points: 5ranked segments: 7
- Analytical evidence: Trend remains materially below the starting level across the analysis window.
- Detected change points: 5
- Largest segment change observed in hotel resort with delta -0.120.
- Ranked segment count: 7.